IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.7	#297
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.6	#57
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.3	#265

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.4	#310

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	15.1%	24.1%	12.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.6	15.9

.500 or above	41.5%	64.6%	34.1%
.500 or above in Conference	79.3%	88.4%	76.4%
Conference Champion	21.2%	32.4%	17.6%
Last Place in Conference	2.6%	1.1%	3.1%

First Four	10.9%	14.2%	9.8%
First Round	9.2%	16.4%	6.9%
Second Round	0.2%	0.5%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Away) - 24.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 0.7	0.0 - 0.7
Quad 1b	0.1 - 1.2	0.1 - 2.0
Quad 2	0.2 - 2.5	0.3 - 4.5
Quad 3	1.2 - 4.6	1.5 - 9.1
Quad 4	12.0 - 7.3	13.5 - 16.5

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2018	217	@ Santa Clara	L	69-73	24%
Nov 12, 2018	48	@ Baylor	L	64-81	3%
Nov 14, 2018	311	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	W	82-81	43%
Nov 17, 2018	227	@ Lamar	L	72-76	27%
Nov 19, 2018	86	@ UNC Greensboro	L	64-77	7%
Nov 21, 2018	290	@ East Carolina	L	75-76	37%
Nov 23, 2018	113	@ Georgia Tech	L	65-76	10%
Dec 01, 2018	151	@ Murray St.	L	69-78	16%
Dec 04, 2018	141	@ Louisiana Tech	L	70-79	14%
Dec 11, 2018	100	@ Louisiana	L	73-85	9%
Dec 20, 2018	244	@ Seattle	L	72-75	30%
Dec 29, 2018	194	@ Winthrop	L	77-83	21%
Jan 05, 2019	343	@ Southern	W	75-69	62%
Jan 07, 2019	346	@ Alcorn St.	W	77-70	63%
Jan 12, 2019	243	Texas Southern	L	79-82	50%
Jan 19, 2019	335	Jackson St.	W	70-66	73%
Jan 21, 2019	296	Grambling St.	L	77-78	59%
Jan 26, 2019	344	@ Mississippi Valley	W	79-73	60%
Jan 28, 2019	332	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	75-71	53%
Feb 02, 2019	349	Alabama A&M	W	75-67	82%
Feb 04, 2019	325	Alabama St.	W	77-75	67%
Feb 09, 2019	243	@ Texas Southern	L	79-82	32%
Feb 16, 2019	335	@ Jackson St.	W	70-66	53%
Feb 18, 2019	296	@ Grambling St.	L	77-78	39%
Feb 23, 2019	344	Mississippi Valley	W	79-73	78%
Feb 25, 2019	332	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	75-71	71%
Mar 02, 2019	349	@ Alabama A&M	W	75-67	66%
Mar 04, 2019	325	@ Alabama St.	W	77-75	48%
Mar 07, 2019	343	Southern	W	75-69	78%
Mar 09, 2019	346	Alcorn St.	W	77-70	79%
Projected Record						13.5 - 16.5	11.1 - 6.9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.7	2.7	4.7	5.4	4.4	2.5	0.6		21.2	1st
2nd										0.0	0.2	1.6	4.2	6.8	4.5	1.7	0.3				19.3	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	2.1	4.9	5.1	2.5	0.4	0.0					15.3	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	2.0	4.9	4.2	1.3	0.1	0.0						12.7	4th
5th							0.0	0.2	1.7	4.4	2.8	0.7	0.0								9.8	5th
6th						0.0	0.3	1.5	3.1	2.3	0.5	0.0									7.7	6th
7th					0.0	0.1	1.0	2.6	1.5	0.3	0.0										5.5	7th
8th				0.0	0.2	1.0	1.8	1.1	0.2	0.0											4.3	8th
9th			0.0	0.4	0.7	0.9	0.6	0.1													2.7	9th
10th	0.0	0.0	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0														1.5	10th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.4	0.8	1.4	2.2	3.6	5.5	6.8	9.2	10.4	11.6	11.4	12.0	9.7	7.1	4.8	2.5	0.6			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.6		0.6
17-1	100.0%	2.5		2.5	0.1
16-2	93.0%	4.4		4.0	0.5
15-3	76.2%	5.4		3.9	1.4	0.1
14-4	48.9%	4.7		2.6	1.8	0.3	0.0
13-5	22.2%	2.7		1.0	1.1	0.5	0.0
12-6	6.4%	0.7		0.2	0.2	0.3	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.7%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%	0.0						0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	21.2%	21.2		14.6	5.1	1.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.6%		81.1%	81.1%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1
17-1	2.5%		63.5%	63.5%		15.3													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.9
16-2	4.8%		50.9%	50.9%		15.7														0.0	0.1	0.4	1.9	2.3
15-3	7.1%		38.9%	38.9%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.3	2.4	4.3
14-4	9.7%		27.8%	27.8%		15.9															0.0	0.1	2.6	7.0
13-5	12.0%		20.4%	20.4%		16.0																0.0	2.4	9.6
12-6	11.4%		11.3%	11.3%		16.0																	1.3	10.1
11-7	11.6%		6.1%	6.1%		16.0																	0.7	10.9
10-8	10.4%		3.8%	3.8%		16.0																	0.4	10.0
9-9	9.2%		2.5%	2.5%		16.0																	0.2	8.9
8-10	6.8%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	6.8
7-11	5.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	5.5
6-12	3.6%																							3.6
5-13	2.2%																							2.2
4-14	1.4%																							1.4
3-15	0.8%																							0.8
2-16	0.4%																							0.4
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		15.1%	15.1%	0.0%	15.8													0.0	0.1	0.4	1.6	12.9	84.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%